Article in Journal

On the Robustness of the Ifo Business Climate Index in Relation to Missing Values

Christian Seiler
ifo Institut, München, 2012

ifo Schnelldienst, 2012, 65, Nr. 17, 19-22

The Ifo Institute has collected monthly data on the economic situation of companies in Germany since 1949. As in many socio-economic disciplines, direct company surveys are the tool used to collect data. A well-known phenomenon, which can occur in the surveying process, are missing data on individual questions, or even the non-completion of the entire survey. This article shows that the results of Ifo's Business Survey are very stable in terms of non-response, which does not specifically lead to a deterioration in the forecasting performance of the Business Climate Indicator.

JEL Classification: O100

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ifo Institut, München, 2012