Article in Journal
The Euro Disaster: How the Crisis will Continue – Possible and Probable Scenarios
Matthias Elbers
ifo Institut, München
ifo Schnelldienst, 2012, 65, Nr. 16, 29-34
ifo Institut, München
ifo Schnelldienst, 2012, 65, Nr. 16, 29-34
![](https://www.ifo.de/DocImg/ifosd_2012_16_3.jpg?c=1689237030)
Matthias Elbers, formerly of the specialist finance publication “Der Neue Kämmerer”, presents his view of the euro crisis. For Elbers the crisis is essentially a balance-of-payments crisis of several European economies, triggered by chronic balance-of-payment deficits that were subsequently exacerbated by capital flight. In his opinion, the chronic balance-of-payments deficits of the crisis states are the direct result of the political project of European currency union. In other words, the euro itself is the cause of the crisis.
JEL Classification: E520,F340,G010