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Plunge in equipment investments -business climate in leasing shows signs of bottoming out

Joachim Gürtler, Arno Städtler
ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2009

ifo Schnelldienst, 2009, 62, Nr. 13, 38-41

The Ifo Business Climate for the leasing industry improved somewhat over the dramatic deterioration in the last quarter of 2008. The first quarter of 2009 showed signs of a bottoming-out, the climate index rising thereafter three times in succession within the second quarter. This improvement can be entirely attributed, however, to improved business expectations; the current business situation continues to be rated as bad. Every second respondent (52%) in the leasing branch assessed his current business situation as bad, 36% as satisfactory, and only 12% as good. The investment indicator compiled by the Ifo Institute in conjunction with the Federation of German Leasing Companies points to a further strong decline in equipment investments in 2009. The 20% drop forecasted would mean a fall to a level not seen since 2004. The decline is expected to continue during the first half of 2010, with a 7-8% fall in machine, equipment and vehicle investments on a year-on-year basis.

JEL Classification: L890

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ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2009