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Energy crunch - shortages of raw material: What is the medium-term outlook for the German economy?

Joachim Wuermeling, Wulf H. Bernotat, Ulrich Grillo, Werner Bohnenschäfer, Jochen Weise
ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2007

ifo Schnelldienst, 2007, 60, Nr. 05, 03-19

Increasing energy costs and raw material prices, insecurity with regard to the reliability of energy suppliers and shortages on the raw material markets - Joachim Wuermeling, Federal Ministry for Economics and Technology, sees the necessity for a new raw material strategy for Germany, which is currently being developed by the federal government together with the business sector. Wulf H. Bernotat, E.ON AG, stresses that European countries can no longer act independently in their energy policies if they wish to build up energy structures in Europe that are efficient and viable for the future. Jochen Weise, E.ON AG Ruhrgas, argues that policy-makers must act, pursuing the security of the energy supply as a key issue in foreign policy. Ulrich Grillo, Federation of German Industries - BDI, proposes a capital-intensive "national joint venture" that would bundle the raw materials interests. In the opinion of Werner Bohnenschäfer, Institute for Engergy and Environment - IE, businesses must adjust to a high price level for raw materials of all kinds in the medium term. In the longer term new technologies that use new composite materials, whose raw-material basis is unlimited, must be developed to safeguard competitiveness.

JEL Classification: Q310,Q410

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ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2007