Nursing care for the aged and social services – growing needs and insufficient funds
ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2006
ifo Schnelldienst, 2006, 59, Nr. 15, 24-30
![](https://www.ifo.de/DocImg/ifosd_2006_15_3.jpg?c=1689237006)
Due to demographic ageing, the number of people in need of nursing care will increase clearly in the coming decades. The present infrastructure for in-patient and out-patient care will not suffice to preserve or even improve the necessary standard of care. Nursing services, nursing homes and also nursing staff will be lacking: A calculation of the personnel requirements in full-time equivalents on the basis of known personnel/nursing-care-case rates shows that up to 2010 a total of 150,000 full-time workers (full-time equivalents) will be needed. Up to 2020 this number could rise to ca. 250,000. Thus, the costs of state nursing-care insurance schemes will continue to rise. Since according to the current rules adjustment on the revenue side is not ensured, a fundamental basic reform of nursing care insurance is urgently necessary.