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Comment on the informative value of growth rates

Georg Goldrian
ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2005

in: ifo Schnelldienst, 2005, 58, Nr. 13, 47-48

Recently the Federal Statistical Office released the growth rate of real GDP for the first quarter of 2005, in which seasonally adjusted GDP grew by 1% over the previous quarter. Experts were surprised by the amount of growth. A closer look, however, shows that as a result of season adjustment the informative value of the growth rate is weakened.

JEL Classification: E000

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ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2005