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Is there a "new economy"? Effects on the American production potential

Gebhard Flaig
ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2001

in: ifo Schnelldienst, 2001, 54, Nr. 05, 16-21

The high growth rates of American GDP in recent years have raised the question of whether this was "only" a result of the strong cyclical boom or whether the long-term growth rates of production potential have also increased. Numerous commentators support the thesis that the "new-economy" effects have induced a permanent thrust of economic growth. An analysis of the growth rates of the American economy over the past five decades with the help of an econometric time-series model indicates however that America experienced a cyclical boom in the 1990s that is now coming to an end.

JEL Classification: O100

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ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2001