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International economy: downward trend continues

Gernot Nerb
ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2001

in: ifo Schnelldienst, 2001, 54, Nr. 23, 33-40

According to the results of the 74th Economic Survey International, the downward trend in the international economic climate that began in Spring 2000 intensified in October 2001. Since reaching a peak in April 2000, the indicator has lost ca. 40% of its value and is now at its lowest point since the survey was introduced in Spring 1981. The sharp downturn affected both components: the appraisal of the current economic situation as well as the six-month expectations. The main problem facing the world economy, according to the survey experts, is a weakening of demand. A further decline in short-term interest rates next year is expected by more ESI respondents than in the previous survey.

JEL Classification: E320,F010

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ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2001