How Lower Bavaria Is Affected by Structural Change - An Inventory

Tasks

The aim of this expertise is to illustrate how Lower Bavaria is affected by structural change using suitable indicators for mega-trends. In a first step, the indicators are intended to record which sectors are particularly affected by the respective mega-trend. Based on this knowledge, the extent to which Lower Bavaria is affected can then be analyzed in a Bavarian and German comparison. The regional depth of the data used allows an analysis of how the Lower Bavarian districts and independent cities are affected by the respective mega-trend.

Methods

Using administrative data, an inventory is made of the extent to which Lower Bavaria is affected by the structural change. With a focus on how Lower Bavaria is affected, we analyze the following mega-trends:

• the decarbonization of private transport and the impact on the automotive industry,
• the digital transformation,
• the tertiarization of the economy,
• the energy transition,
• the change of globalization,
• and Demographic factors such as the age structure of the population, commuter connections and migration movements.

Data and other sources

Federal Statistical Office, Federal Employment Agency.