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ifo Business Climate Index for Saxony

ifo Business Climate Saxony Rises (April)

The ifo Business Climate Index Saxony rose considerably in April 2021. The barometer of business sentiment jumped from 93.5 to 95.7 points. This was driven by companies’ substantially improved business expectations. Their assessments of the current situation also improved slightly.


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In Saxony’s manufacturing, sentiment brightened somewhat in April. Assessments of the current situation and expectations both improved moderately. Capacity utilization in manufacturing, recorded quarterly, rose to 85.1 percent in April – well above its long-run average of 81.8 percent.

In Saxony’s service sector, the Business Climate Index rose further in April. Survey participants reported a notable improvement in their assessments of the current situation, while their outlook for the coming months was also somewhat less pessimistic.

April saw a continued brightening of the business climate in Saxony’s trade. This was driven by a strong improvement in business expectations for the coming six months. Assessments of the current situation improved a little.

In Saxony’s construction, the Business Climate Index rose perceptibly in April. Participating construction companies reported a palpable improvement in their assessments of the current situation, and their business expectations for the coming six months also improved.

Joachim Ragnitz and Marcel Thum    
Executive Directors, Dresden Branch of the ifo Institute

ifo Business Climate Saxony Rises (April 2021)
ifo Business Climate Saxony Rises (April 2021)

ifo Business Climate Saxony

(Index, 2015 = 100, seasonally adjusted)

  04/20 05/20 06/20 07/20 08/20 09/20 10/20 11/20 12/20 01/21 02/21 03/21 04/21
Climate 79.4 83.0 88.8 90.9 93.3 94.6 94.7 91.3 91.7 90.6 91.0 93.5 95.7
Situation 86.1 85.6 85.4 88.4 91.7 93.9 94.6 90.9 93.3 92.0 91.5 93.1 94.0
Expectations 73.3 80.5 92.3 93.4 95.0 95.2 94.7 91.7 90.2 89.2 90.4 94.0 97.4

Source: ifo Business Survey.
© ifo Institute

ifo Business Climate Saxony by Sector

(Balances, seasonally adjusted)

  04/20 05/20 06/20 07/20 08/20 09/20 10/20 11/20 12/20 01/21 02/21 03/21 04/21
Saxony -28.2 -20.5 -8.0 -3.5 1.9 4.5 4.7 -2.5 -1.6 -4.0 -3.2 2.3 7.0
Manufacturing -29.8 -25.1 -12.6 -10.6 -8.6 -5.4 2.2 -0.7 0.8 7.1 12.8 15.9 18.2
Service sector -30.5 -17.7 -5.0 0.2 8.4 6.6 5.4 0.6 -2.7 -6.1 -5.3 -0.6 2.2
Trade -29.6 -25.8 -13.2 -6.8 1.6 9.8 6.3 -10.6 -2.1 -18.7 -20.2 -2.9 5.4
Construction -18.1 -12.2 -8.1 3.7 -7.1 -7.2 -4.1 -8.8 -4.3 -18.1 -19.7 -9.2 -3.8

Source: ifo Business Survey.
© ifo Institute

The ifo Business Climate for Saxony is based on approx. 500 monthly survey responses from businesses in manufacturing, the service sector, trade, and construction. Companies are asked to give their assessments of the current business situation and their expectations for the next six months. They can describe their situation as “good,” “satisfactory,” or “poor” and their business expectations for the next six months as “more favorable,” “unchanged,” or “less favorable.” The balance value of the current business situation is the difference in the percentage shares of the responses “good” and “poor”; the balance value of the expectations is the difference in the percentage shares of the responses “more favorable” and “less favorable.” The business climate is a transformed mean of the balances of the business situation and the expectations. To calculate the index values, the transformed balances are all normalized to the average for the year 2015.

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Portraitbild Prof. Joachim Ragnitz

Prof. Dr. Joachim Ragnitz

Managing Director ifo Dresden
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+49(0)351/26476-17
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+49(0)351/26476-20
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