Team
The people behind the ifo Institute offer the very high level of expertise and experience needed to fulfill our research and service mandate.
ifo Schnelldienst: Electric Vehicles are not a Panacea for Climate Change
Electric vehicles will barely help cut CO2 emissions in Germany over the coming years, as the introduction of electric vehicles does not necessarily lead to a reduction in CO2 emissions from road traffic.
Légère baisse de l'indice ifo des exportations
Le moral excellent des exportateurs allemands vient de se dégrader légèrement. Les prévisions communiquées par l'industrie à l'Institut ifo au mois de mai affichent un certain recul, passant de 23,9 points en avril à 23,0 points. Les exportations restent néanmoins un pilier important de la bonne conjoncture dans l'industrie allemande.
ifo Business Climate Index Rises (April 2023)
Sentiment in German business has improved slightly. The ifo Business Climate Index rose to 93.6 points in April, up from 93.2 points in March. This was due to companies’ improved expectations. However, companies assessed their current situation as a little worse. German business’s worries are abating, but the economy is still lacking dynamism.
ifo Employment Barometer Falls Again (July 2022)
The willingness among companies in Germany to hire new staff has taken a significant knock. The ifo Employment Barometer fell to 101.1 points in July, down from 103.3 points in June. Overall, companies are still planning to recruit new staff, but have become more cautious in their personnel planning due to the current high level of uncertainty.
Institut ifo : légère dégradation du climat des affaires dans l’automobile
Le moral des constructeurs automobiles allemands s’est légèrement détérioré en février, après une amélioration sensible en janvier. C’est ce que révèlent les enquêtes conjoncturelles réalisées par l’Institut ifo. « À – 10,1 points, l’indice du secteur reste toutefois nettement supérieur à son point le plus bas enregistré en 2023 », indique Anita Wölfl, chercheuse au Centre ifo de l’organisation industrielle et des technologies nouvelles.
ifo Employment Barometer Falls (December 2019)
German companies are somewhat more reluctant to look for employees. The ifo Employment Barometer fell to 98.9 points in December after measuring 99.5 points in November. Nevertheless, the upswing in the labor market will continue, albeit that momentum is likely to be less strong in 2020 than it was in 2019.
ifo Institute: One-Fifth of German Companies Consider Themselves at Risk
Just over a fifth of German companies deem their survival to be at risk as a result of the coronavirus crisis. This is the result of the ifo Institute’s latest survey. In June, 21 percent of the companies surveyed responded that the adverse effects of the coronavirus crisis put their very survival in danger. “We could see a wave of insolvencies in the coming months,” ifo researcher Stefan Sauer says.
Fewer German Companies Plan to Increase Prices
Fewer German companies are planning to raise their prices soon than in the previous month, finds the ifo Institute’s latest survey. For the economy as a whole, the ifo price expectations fell to 40.3 points in December, down from 46.2* points in November. Price expectations fell furthest in manufacturing and construction – from 53.3* points to 42.0 points and from 38.4* points to 28.3 points, respectively. But it is also the case in trade and the service sector that fewer companies are planning to raise their prices. Price expectations here fell from 50.6 points to 42.0 points and from 41.4* points to 38.1 points, respectively. “This means that increases in producer and consumer prices are likely to gradually slow down in the months ahead. Inflation rates will, however, remain high,” says Timo Wollmershäuser, Head of Forecasts at ifo.
Slide in PISA Ranking Jeopardizes Germany’s Economic Prosperity
“The decline in German students’ performance in the PISA study is a cause for great concern. Good education is the most important basis for our prosperity,” says Ludger Wößmann, Director of the ifo Center for the Economics of Education. “In math and reading, the performance of 15-year-olds is a whole school year behind where it was just four years ago. This decline in educational results is unprecedented. Performance has even fallen below the level that triggered the first PISA shock about 20 years ago. In this most recent study, German students’ performance in mathematics dropped by 25 PISA points, which will cost Germany around EUR 14 trillion in economic output by the end of the century.”
Institut ifo : l'industrie automobile allemande optimiste sur une amélioration de ses affaires
L'ambiance sur le marché allemand de la construction et de la sous-traitance automobiles est plutôt maussade, voire mauvaise. En janvier, l'évaluation de la situation actuelle n'a guère été plus favorable que le mois précédent, passant à –7,5 points après – 8,5 points au mois de décembre. C'est ce qui ressort de la toute dernière enquête conjoncturelle de l'Institut ifo. Les attentes ont faiblement progressé, atteignant + 11,6 points contre + 11,2 points au mois de décembre. « Prudemment optimistes, les constructeurs automobiles espèrent que la demande s'animera après la fin du confinement. La montée actuelle du niveau des stocks s'explique aussi par cette attente », soutient Klaus Wohlrabe, le directeur des enquêtes conjoncturelles de l'Institut ifo.
Allemagne: Amélioration sensible de l'indice ifo du climat des affaires
Le moral des dirigeants d'entreprise allemands continue de s'améliorer. L'indice ifo du climat des affaires a progressé de 79,7 points en mai à 86,2 points au mois de juin. C'est la hausse la plus importante jamais enregistrée. Les entreprises sont un peu plus optimistes concernant leur situation actuelle. Leurs attentes affichent quant à elles une progression significative. L'économie allemande voit poindre une lueur d'espoir au bout du tunnel.
ifo Institute: Higher Electricity Prices are Imminent in Bavaria Unless the Power Supply Grid is Expanded
Without further expansion of the power grids, southern Germany faces the threat of higher electricity prices. The difference between prices in northern and southern Germany may be up to 5.7 percent, making production more expensive at energy-intensive companies in Bavaria. This is highlighted in a new ifo study for the Chamber of Industry and Commerce for Munich and Upper Bavaria.
Allemagne : Le chercheur de l'Institut ifo Andreas Peichl plaide pour la réforme du quotient conjugal
À quelques jours de la Journée internationale des femmes, le chercheur de l'Institut ifo Andreas Peichl s'est prononcé en faveur d'une réforme de la fiscalité des époux en Allemagne. ”« Le quotient conjugal devrait être remplacé par un véritable système familial sur le modèle du quotient familial français. Cela signifie que ce n'est pas le mariage lui-même, mais les enfants qui apporteraient alors des avantages fiscaux », explique Andreas Peichl.
ifo Institute / EconPol Europe: Germany’s Middle Class Has One of the Highest Tax Burdens in Europe
In a European comparison, the tax and contribution burden for middle-class incomes is highest in Denmark, Belgium, Germany, Finland, Lithuania, Slovenia, and the Netherlands. By contrast, France, Poland, Italy, Luxembourg, Sweden, and Austria impose average tax burdens on their middle classes, while the tax burden for the middle class is lowest in Spain, Greece, Estonia, Portugal, Cyprus, Bulgaria, and Romania. These are the findings of a study conducted by the ifo Institute and EconPol Europe on behalf of the Hanns Seidel Foundation.
Number of People Working From Home in Germany Virtually Unchanged
As the latest wave of the coronavirus reached its peak, the number of people in Germany working from home remained largely the same. In February, 28.2 percent of employees worked from home at least some of the time; in January that figure was 28.4 percent. This is the finding of an ifo Institute survey.
Production Expectations in German Manufacturing Improved
German manufacturers’ production expectations rose in September, according to surveys by the ifo Institute. The indicator stood at 29 points in September, up from 27 points in August. “One reason the production outlook continues to be good is the catch-up effects resulting from the coronavirus pandemic,” says Klaus Wohlrabe, Head of Surveys at ifo. “Order books are still full. The only problems at the moment are due to material shortages, which are putting a bit of a damper on production plans.”
ifo Export Expectations Fall Slightly (July 2021)
Sentiment among German exporters has worsened somewhat, with the ifo Export Expectations in manufacturing falling to 24.5 points, down from 25.0 points in June. Overall, however, German exports continue to perform very well.
ifo Export Expectations Rise (October 2022)
Sentiment among German exporters has improved a bit. The ifo Export Expectations rose to minus 5.3 points in October, up from minus 6.0 points in September. However, the situation for exporters remains difficult, and the high level of uncertainty is causing a reluctance among international customers to place new orders.
Chute de l'index ifo du climat des affaires
Le moral des entreprises allemandes s’est sensiblement assombri, l'indice ifo du climat des affaires ayant reculé de 91,5 points1 en mai à 88,5 points au mois de juin. Les prévisions traduisent un pessimisme nettement plus prononcé, tout comme les retours des entreprises sur leur situation actuelle. Le ralentissement des activités industrielles est la cause principale de cette conjoncture difficile pour l’économie allemande.
Enquête de l'Institut ifo : La mondialisation atteint les limites de ce que les populations peuvent accepter aux États-Unis et dans certaines parties de l'Europe
Dans plusieurs grands pays industrialisés, la mondialisation a atteint les limites de ce que les populations peuvent accepter. Parmi les économistes interrogés aux États-Unis, 70,4 % sont « entièrement ou partiellement » d'accord avec cette affirmation ; leurs confrères de l'Union Européenne le sont à 56,5 %. C'est ce qu'indique un sondage (World Economic Survey) réalisé par l'Institut ifo auprès de 1085 experts économiques du monde entier.