Article in Journal

Netherlands: escaping stagnation with a new "polder model"?

Oscar-Erich Kuntze
ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2003

in: ifo Schnelldienst, 2003, 56, Nr. 11, 34-42

In the Netherlands the real gross domestic product in 2002 increased by around 0.3%, which placed the country in the rear ranks of European states. The unemployment rate increased to 2.7% for the year, and inflation at 3.9% was one of the highest rates in western Europe. This year as well, the economy will remain weak, real GDP expanding only by around ¼%. The situation on the labour market will continue to deteriorate throughout the year, leading to an annual unemployment rate 4%. Inflation will weaken, however, amounting to just 2¾%. In 2004 economic activity will gain momentum and real GDP should grow by 1½%. The unemployment rate will remain at the approximate level of 2003, and consumer prices will increase by 1½%.

JEL Classification: O100,O520

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ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2003